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Created May 5, 2026 11:58
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Topliner — Project Cost Estimator (calibrated formula + reference table)

Topliner — Project Cost Estimator

Calibrated against actual project costs from 2026-04-02 → 2026-05-05 (91 real projects with ≥50 scored candidates), with CrustData realtime discount (−70%) applied and CrustData costs imputed onto LinkedIn-sourced projects so the reference is provider-agnostic.

Formula

0-2 agents:   $0.07 × scored_candidates + $0.15 × companies
3+ agents:    $0.20 × scored_candidates + $0.15 × companies

Calibrated to mean per-scored-candidate rates (not medians) so estimates lean conservative — better to slightly overquote than under.

Estimator Table

Companies Scored candidates Agents Estimated cost Reality check
100 500 0 $50 <500 scored bucket: median $27, mean $52
100 2,000 1 $155 500-2k bucket: median $82, mean $105
200 5,000 2 $380 similar to Treatwell ($164), Whatnot AE ($298)
500 10,000 2 $775 similar to Molyon ($172), Cenotian Quants ($323)
1,000 15,000 2 $1,200 Miro CTO actual = $579-700 — formula trends slightly higher
1,000 20,000 3 $4,150 Helsing actual = $1,772 (16k scored, 3 agents); #1547 mapping = $6,389
1,500 25,000 4 $5,225 range Endeit ($1,277) → #1547 ($6,389) — top of bracket

Notes

  • "Scored candidates" = candidates with score_value IS NOT NULL (i.e., AI scoring actually ran on them, not just sourced).
  • "Agents" = configured intelligent AI agents (agents.type = 'intelligent'). Each agent runs against every candidate, so 3+ agents drive a step-change in cost per scored candidate (~3× the baseline).
  • Estimates exclude the very long tail of mapping-style projects with heavy realtime CrustData usage — those can land at $6,000+ regardless of formula.
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