Skip to content

Instantly share code, notes, and snippets.

@devrim
Created May 22, 2026 02:30
Show Gist options
  • Select an option

  • Save devrim/0f81189c81a6d2cc65dd4bbdda318194 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.

Select an option

Save devrim/0f81189c81a6d2cc65dd4bbdda318194 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Robin Strategy: Master Index of All Gists

Robin Trading Strategy - Master Index

πŸ“š All Gists (Read These)

1. MAIN STRATEGY (Start here)

πŸ“ https://gist.github.com/devrim/68907d3b781a968362b645163360cc00

  • Strategy overview (80% validated, 10-15% returns)
  • Top 10 picks ranked by conviction
  • Backtest results (MSFT +6.90%, NVDA +43.37%, AAPL +26.38%)
  • Earnings calendar for all tickers
  • Entry/exit rules, risk management

2. NEXT BOOM STRATEGY (The real opportunity πŸš€)

πŸ“ https://gist.github.com/devrim/f75a7de211cf7f67ee601dc3a072a9af

  • Why 10-15% returns aren't enough β†’ Looking for 300-600% booms
  • Semiconductor boom analysis (Sep 2024 β†’ SNDK +1,854%, WDC +540%)
  • Next sector to boom: Edge AI (ARM, NXPI, QCOM) + Advanced Packaging (AMKR)
  • Timeline: Insider buys NOW (May-Aug), Boom Sep-Dec 2026
  • Strategy: Monitor Quiver for insider signals, buy when CEO/CFO buys
  • Expected returns: 300-600% in 6-12 months

3. DEPLOYMENT GUIDE (How to start)

πŸ“ https://gist.github.com/devrim/b2ebfb2b72982cb77b1d77c2199519de

  • Phase 1: Paper trading on Alpaca (free, this week)
  • Phase 2: Validate strategy with 20-30 trades (month 2-3)
  • Phase 3: Go live with real money (month 4+)
  • Daily workflow: /quiver β†’ /validate β†’ βœ… execute
  • Checklist before going live
  • Expected monthly returns by phase

🎯 Quick Start

Today

  1. Read NEXT_BOOM_STRATEGY first (the real opportunity)
  2. Start the bot: ./run_bot.sh
  3. Monitor /quiver daily for insider activity in: ARM, NXPI, QCOM, AMKR, PWR

When Insider Signal Fires

  • CEO/CFO buys in edge AI ticker = boom is 2-4 months away
  • Buy 2-3% position
  • Hold 6-12 months
  • Target 300-600% gains

Backup: If No Insider Signals by Aug 2026

  • Revert to main strategy (10-15% boring returns)
  • Or pivot to monitoring other emerging sectors

πŸ’‘ Key Insights

Strategy Target Returns Risk
Main (GIST #1) General insider buys (MSFT, HD, TRMD) 10-15% / year Low
Next Boom (GIST #2) Edge AI + packaging (ARM, AMKR) 300-600% in 6-12m Medium

Recommendation: Watch for insider signals in edge AI. If they show up in May-Aug 2026, that's your 300%+ play. Otherwise, fall back to main strategy.


πŸ“± Daily Operations

# Start bot
./run_bot.sh

# In Telegram:
/quiver                          # See latest insider/congressional picks
/validate ARM NXPI QCOM AMKR    # Check these tickers for early signals
/status                          # See current positions
βœ… button                        # Execute trade on Alpaca paper

πŸ”„ Update Frequency

  • Main GIST: Updated when new picks found (weekly)
  • Next Boom GIST: Updated when insider activity detected (daily check)
  • Deployment GIST: Static (reference only)

πŸš€ The Vision

Timeframe Goal Status
May 2026 Find the next boom sector βœ… Done (Edge AI)
May-Aug 2026 Monitor for insider signals ⏳ In progress
Sep-Dec 2026 Catch the boom (300-600%) ⏳ Waiting for signal
2027 Take profits, repeat ⏳ TBD

πŸ“Š Files in Repo

  • GIST.md β†’ GitHub gist (main strategy)
  • NEXT_BOOM_STRATEGY.md β†’ GitHub gist (next opportunity)
  • DEPLOY_LIVE.md β†’ GitHub gist (deployment guide)
  • robin/bot.py β†’ Telegram bot (monitor from phone)
  • robin/backtest.py β†’ Validation engine (Alpaca API)
  • robin/quiver.py β†’ Signal fetching (congressional + insider trades)
  • scripts/backtest_quiver.py β†’ CLI backtest tool
  • run_bot.sh β†’ Start the bot
  • .env β†’ Credentials (Quiver, Alpaca, Telegram)

⚠️ Disclaimers

  • Past performance β‰  future results
  • Edge AI boom is a HYPOTHESIS based on semiconductor pattern
  • Insider buying is NOT a guarantee of future performance
  • Start with paper trading ($0 real risk)
  • Never risk more than 3% per position
  • If win rate drops below 50%, stop and reassess

πŸŽ“ What You Learned

  1. General insider buys β†’ 10-15% returns (boring)
  2. Sector-specific insider buys β†’ 300-600% returns (exciting)
  3. Timing matters β†’ Early insiders signal boom 2-4 months later
  4. Pattern recognition β†’ Semiconductors boomed, now watch edge AI

The real alpha isn't in WHAT insiders buy, but in WHICH SECTOR they're buying in at the right time.


Start with NEXT_BOOM_STRATEGY. That's where the money is. πŸš€

Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment